discussion on okun’s law in iran: particular emphasis on population ‎structure

نویسندگان

یداله دادگر

استاد اقتصاد، عضو هیئت علمی دانشگاه شهید بهشتی روح الله نظری

دانشجوی دکتری علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد فاطمه فهیمی فر

دانشجوی دکتری علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی

چکیده

a basic subject in economy is change in growth of population and it’s link to ‎other variables. if growth in population is consistent with other economic ‎circumstances, it would lead to economic growth, otherwise it would be ‎problematic. by using okun's law and population structures, this paper is ‎analysis the case for iran for 1974-2010. predictions are related to 2025 ‎horizon. the results show that there is a positive relation between human ‎capital and economic growth. unemployment and inflation rates are ‎negatively related to social welfare. economic growth and unemployment are ‎negatively related. the social welfare index and rate of women between 15- ‎‎44 to population are positively related with marriage. finally average percent ‎of changes up to 2025 would be between -0.17-0.38. ‎

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